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[References: 18 tit.]

The sustainable system of energy supply in the Siberian Federal District requires first of all an accurate forecast and research of the factors relating to energy consumption. The Siberian Federal District (SFD) possesses rich fuel, energy and raw material resources and is a major supplier of resources to other regions [2]. The balance of electrical energy efficiency is a partial derivative of the composite energy balance in the SFD considered at the socio-economic level of the territory development, as well as an indicator of effectiveness concerning the implementation of the state policy in the field of energy conservation. The most significant factor affecting power consumption is the gross regional product (GRP) and capacitance of GRP. Mining and manufacturing industries are characterized by the production of electrical capacitance. Following the scenario of Russia's social and economic development till 2030, some research of changing dynamics of the GRP has been done by modifying its structure. Furthermore, the paper offers an approximate forecast concerning electric capacity till 2020 in comparable prices. Thus, with 18% decrease, the capacitance will decrease by 13% not affecting the GRP trend. In our opinion, the policy of energy efficiency may not only include introduction of energy-saving technologies, but bring about a more accurate forecast analysis of the SFD electric balance.